News Article: Big Drop In Local House Sales means It’s A Real Buyers' Market

Cosmo

Riddle's unwrapped enigma
Jul 30, 2003
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Big Drop In Local House Sales means It’s A Real Buyers' Market

VANCOUVER - Residential property sales in Metro Vancouver dropped a whopping 55 per cent while prices fell 3.9 per cent in October compared to the same period last year, according to new figures released Monday.

Buyers seem to be uncertain about the economic future, prompting a steep decline in home sales, the Real Estate Board of Great Vancouver said.

"The confidence issue, in our opinion, is a factor that has never been in the mix before, which is this global credit crisis," board president Dave Watt said.

Local real estate agents said more people are selling than buying, creating a buyers' market with lowered prices.

Holly Wood, a Vancouver realtor, said Monday that buyers can "go in low" after choosing the properties they like best among similarly priced units.
"The worst thing they sellers can do is counter back, but, who knows, in this market, they may take it," she said.

The drop in home sales also means fewer people are listing their homes for sale, a University of British Columbia real estate expert said.

"People are responding. They're saying, 'You know what, this isn't a good time to sell, or if I sell, I don't know if I'll be able to buy another unit.' So there's that reaction, which is part of how a market adjusts," said Tsur Somerville, an associate professor at the faculty of commerce and business administration.

Somerville said Metro Vancouver's real estate market is still "very much in this steep decline."

"When is this real estate market or the housing market going to stabilize and sort of stop declining? That's going to have to wait until economic conditions improve," he said.

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Meanwhile in the U.K.

From The Times: House rents fall as unsold properties flood market

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/money/property_and_mortgages/article5176440.ece

Rents fell for the first time in five years between July and October as home-movers flooded the rental market with properties that they could not sell.

It is the first time since 2003 that the gauge of rental yields has turned negative. James Scott-Lee, of RICS, said: “Many vendors have been forced to become amateur landlords, creating an inevitable downward pressure on rents.”

Usually in a recession some people double up with friends or family - and that puts downward pressure on rents. This time there is also a huge number of "amateur landlords" renting out their unsold properties, and that is additional downward pressure on rents.

This is also happening in the U.S., see: Apartment Market Weakens

(http://www.nmhc.org/Content/ServeContent.cfm?ContentItemID=4918)

Nine straight months of job losses have begun to cut into the demand for apartment residences,” said Mark Obrinsky, NMHC’s Vice President of Research and Chief Economist. “While favorable demographics and a lower homeownership rate will benefit the apartment industry over time, owners and managers will first have to work their way through the current economic downturn before the benefits of that increased demand are likely to show up. Until then, economic worry will cause some people to “double up” by moving in with a friend or returning to their parents’ house.”
 

Aeiyah

Square peg
Jul 12, 2004
998
1
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Vancouver
It's only a buyer's market if there are willing sellers. The last time housing sales slumped in Vancouver was after the tech bubble burst in 1999-2000. I was in the market to buy, but there weren't very many houses on the market. I wound up looking at something like 25 houses, most of which were crap, before I settled on the one I eventually bought.
 

Jodie

B.Bj, M.Sog, Fs.D
Mar 14, 2004
661
5
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Vancouver, BC
www.vancouverjodie.com
Interesting...

I wonder how many more of these we are going to see in the next year:

http://vancouver.en.craigslist.ca/reo/923290977.html

$380000 Owner in distress - Selling assignment below market value (Vancouver Downtown)

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Reply to: hous-923290977@craigslist.org [?]
Date: 2008-11-17, 3:40PM PST



I have to exit my real estate position in Vancouver as I am heavily invested in the stock markets.

This is a 1 bedroom in the Woodwards District project, NW facing with unrestricted water view. The unit is on 32nd floor and is about 640 sq feet. It is in the W-43 building. Assignments for similar units are listed at about 20% premiums over this price at Rennie Assignment sales: http://www.condoassignments.com/currentlistings.html

I would sell the unit as soon as possible. I am entertaining offers for immediate sale and intend to sell to the best and resonable offer by November 21.

I have paid about $76000 down and the remainder of $380,000 will be due around September. I am also looking for someone who is willing to split the transaction cost.

Thank you,
Scott
Oh, and does anyone else here see something troubling about paying almost $400K to live right smack in the middle of the worst neighbourhood in Canada? For $380K, you could do A LOT better than Woodward's!
 

Jodie

B.Bj, M.Sog, Fs.D
Mar 14, 2004
661
5
0
Vancouver, BC
www.vancouverjodie.com
It is important to understand the distinction between sales and prices

When we see alarming stats like "sales have dropped 30%," this simply means that 30% fewer sales are occurring. Sales and prices do not always correlate. Sometimes fewer sales indicate a dearth of listings, which can actually drive prices higher.

So I don't think sales dropping are a reason to panic. That is simply the result of fewer people listing their properties and more buyers waiting to see what is going to transpire. I am more concerned with watching where prices are going.

The other thing I find funny is that the numbers vary depending on whose article you read. I have seen that October sales were down anywhere from 29-55% and prices anywhere from 2%-9%. Statistics are so easy to manipulate...
 
Ashley Madison
Vancouver Escorts